TattsBet Round 22 Preview
Last week's round of NRL looked very difficult on paper, and that is how it panned out with only four of the eight favourites able to win, and we are confronted by a similar fixture this week.by NRL
Last week's round of NRL looked very difficult on paper, and that is how it panned out with only four of the eight favourites able to win, and we are confronted by a similar fixture this week. Every game is important as teams jostle for positions at the top, in the middle, and at the bottom of the ladder. The opening price on Tattsbet for all favourites to win this week was $35.70 for a $1 outlay, and that goes to show how hard it is!
Souths v Manly- Just be aware that this match will be played at Bluetongue Stadium in Gosford. Souths go in as slight favourites, and have won the last three times that these two have played in Gosford, but on the flip side, Manly have an average score of 33 points there in nine appearances. Those stats fly in the face of the defensive exhibition that both put on last week in their respective wins. Manly had a tough match in Townsville, and Souths also return from interstate. This could go either way, but a couple of injury doubts at Manly give the nod, slightly, to Souths. Tip-Souths 1-12
Melbourne v Gold Coast- Are the Storm back? Were the Titans unlucky to go down to Souths? Will Greg Bird play? The Storm thumped the Titans 30-6 back in round 3, and if you forgot their recent form and went on last week's win over Penrith, then maybe the same thing may happen again. Punters think that will be the case as the Storm (along with the Bulldogs) have been the 'anchor' in most multi's for the weekend. Melbourne's stars put on a clinic against the Panthers, and they will be looking to grab another win as they can still mathematically finish in second spot. The Titans need to win to stay in the finals race, it is as simple as that. The task will be very difficult if Bird is unable to play. Tip- Storm 13+
Parramatta v Sydney Roosters- A tipsters nightmare! The Roosters have won their last three against the Eels, but Parramatta have beaten Manly and Melbourne recently. Those wins aside, they still find themselves $1.36 to run last, and a loss here would make that highly probable. Not surprisingly this has been the least patronised betting game this week with Tattsbet, and the Roosters are slight favourites at $1.80. Tip- Parramatta 1-12
Wests Tigers v St George Illawarra- The Dragons thrashed the Tigers 36-12 in round 3, and that was when the Tigers were in a form slump. They have had a few of those this season, and looked to be in another one last Monday night when the Eels put three tries on the early. The Tigers got out to $4.00 to win that game, but in a second half that looked like a game of touch footy, they won 51-26. A loss there and there season would have been all over, but they are still in the finals race. A lot of these sides who play Monday night football struggle to come up the next week, but the Tigers get a Dragons side who are completely bereft of confidence. Tip- The Tigers 1-12
North Queensland v New Zealand- The Warriors defeated the Cowboys 35-12 at home only 6 weeks ago, but haven't the fortunes of these two sides changed dramatically? It is hard to believe that this is the same Warriors side that played in last years Grand Final, and their performance last week when going down to Cronulla was abysmal. Their defense is a shambles, and they need to win every week, and rely on other results, to make the finals. The Warriors haven't won in Townsville for 10 years, and the last 12 times these sides have met, 11 have been won by the side playing at home. Some stats don't lie, and that would explain very little support for the Warriors at $3.15, while an early bet of $4000 has been placed on the Cowboys conceding 8.5 points start. Tip- North Queensland 1-12.
Penrith v Canberra- Canberra have been belittled by the Gold Coast and Newcastle recently, but have also handed out belting's to Melbourne and Brisbane. The have won 3 of their last 4 away matches, and struggle when favourites. It is hard to believe that the Raiders can still make the finals after the season they have had, but they have a difficult assignment against Penrith at the foot of the mountains on Sunday. The Panthers have had their own problems with form reversals, and while this was a difficult match to come up with a favourite, the nod went to Canberra who were installed at $1.70. Who knows what will happen here, it could go either way, could be close, or could be a blowout! Tip- Penrith 1-12
Canterbury v Brisbane- A rising injury toll post Origin has hit Brisbane hard, and they look destined to finish in the bottom part of the final eight. That would mean having to win 4 games away from home if they were to grab another title, but in the form they are in, that is near on impossible. They are still $15.00 to win the competition, but are only that price due to a big liability on them. They have lost 5 of their last 7 against the Bulldogs, and if the injuries weren't enough, have to travel to ANZ without Josh Hoffman who was dropped late in the week after being late to training. The rampaging Bulldogs are going for 11 wins on the trot, and deserve to be premiership favourites at $4.00, and it is difficult to put up an argument as to how they won't make it to that eleventh win. The Bulldogs opened at $1.35, and that has gradually firmed into $1.31 as the week has progressed. Tip- Canterbury 13+
Newcastle v Cronulla- Really interesting game. The Knights can still make the 8, and the Sharks can still make the top 4, so a big game either way. Newcastle have won the last four encounters between these two sides, including an 18-6 win way back in round 2, but Cronulla have been one of the big improver's in season 2012. It was hard not to be taken by their huge win over the Warriors last week, and they are a different side when Paul Gallen and Todd Carney take the field together. Ironically the Sharks are a side that punters have never really fallen in love with, but there has been an early push for them in Monday night's game ($2.15 into $2.10), and the signs are there that they will continue to firm in the betting. Another game that could go either way. Tip- Newcastle 1-12
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