haha Scott, if I happened to mention the ones I am not backing , then their prices would shorten significantly, as the smart punters jumped on , knowing they are almost guaranteed to run, because I am not on them . :P So, with that in mind , and being the considerate person that I am , I won't mention anymore horses in the big races, whether I fancy them or not. :)
My 10 picks for the Melbourne Cup so far incluide: Sanagas, Dare To Dream, My Quest For Peace, Green Moon, Glencadam Gold, Niwot, Mourayan, Fictional Account, Mount Anthos, Shahwardi. My top pick is Sanagas. Barts preparing him nicely and has been set for this race, and its paying $51. However price most likely would drop if runs well on Saturday.
Hey Scott i Definitely agree with Mikka Tac De Boistron on the wet track. Unfortunatey the two i was originally backing have been ruled out (Colour Vision and Sapphire). Theres a few stable mates that are still in it though that i'll be watching closely leading up to it. For me its Cavalryman (stable mate of Colour Vision) and Lost In The Moment (also a stablemate and finished 6th last year), Galileo's Choice (stable mate of Sapphire) and My Quest For Peace. I reckon Dunaden will run well again and dont mind the look of Brigantin either!
Jakkalberry carried 54kgs when he won the American St Leger. He's value at 25/1 imo. 3 starts ago he was 3rd to Cirrus Des Aigles & St Nicholas Abbey in the Sheema Classic in Dubai. They are in the top 10 horses in the world according to the World Thoroughbred Rankings. 2 starts ago he was 5th behind Sea Moon (another top 10 horse in the world), Dunaden & Red Cadeaux at level weights. He has 55.5kgs in the Cups, 2.5kgs less than Dunaden and the same weight as Red Cadeaux.
Carried 54kgs when winning the St. Ledger. Won by 2 1/4 as $2.30 fav in field of nine. Has won 10 from 24 but six of those were in his first ten starts. Of his wins, the best has been a G3 in Italy in May last year.
Shahwardi, Red Cadeaux & Green Moon my three atm.. Next two weeks will tell stories of capabilities on Glencadam Gold who has beaten no one of note yet, Dunaden who we are yet to see if she can maintain her quality and my smokie Viola Ici who is a huge chance @ Caulfield this Saturday..
@Scott what's the story with Galileo's Choice? Have I been kept out the loop cos have never heard of this pony, haha
Good thread Scott. I'm with you on Red Cadeaux - I was on him last year pre-post at 125/1! Ed Dunlop is the best in the business at travelling with horses - look at Snow Fairy in Asia and throughout Europe; Ouija Board won in the USA and Hong Kong and third in Japan Cup. He just prepares them so well and the horse's form is better than last year. I also backed Gatewood at 50/1 about 10 weeks ago. Will need to win the Geelong Cup to get in but can't see why he won't after his luckless run on Saturday. Trained by arguably the best horseman in the UK - the world? - in John Gosden. Only lightly raced which is a slight concern, but Gosden would not have stayed on training him if he wasn't on board with the plan (the horse will go to Chris Waller next prep). Good luck however you end up playing.
Great stuff guys. Regarding Galileo's Choice I believe his strengths are- Dermot Weld, Distance, Age and likely a Good Weight. Samson, I hope Gatewood gets in, Gosden is a winner. I think this year's Geelong is going to be very interesting, likely to see several talented stayers battling for the exemption ballot.
Updated list- Red Cadeaux, Green Moon, Glencadam Gold, Galileo's Choice, Brigantin, Mount Athos and Shahwardi. Several under consideration including Dare To Dream, Gatewood, Lost In The Moment and Quest For Peace.
Goal is ten at early odds, with the hope that more than half make the field.
Gatewood was a little unlucky in the Herbert Power admittedly , but i think it is also true to say he was given a pretty soft run in the race . The little queery with me is even if he makes the Melbourne Cup field wether he will be able to stay the distance , or at least be as strong at the finish as a number of these other horses will be . I personally feel around the 2400/2500 metres is about his ideal distance/s . I look forward to seeing him in one of the feature races at Flemington over the 2500 metres , who knows maybe we will see him in the Sandown Classic later on ..... We have not seen the best of him yet! .
It clearly wasn't a little unlucky. It was soo unlucky. It would of won for sure. However I agree, the distance is one of my issues with the horse but you must remember that their bred and trained to run two miles. Gatewood, not the biggest horse seems to me it will be very similair to Bauer. We know of he ran...
@ Calabisca ... All horses can run longer distances , but my queery is wether he will be as strong at the end of the race like a number of the other horses will be .... Coming back to the Herbert Power , i may be wrong but the impression i got was that Gatewood was only in the race for the excersize and the instructions were not too give the horse too hard a hard run . I have watched the replay a number of occassions and he was only shaken up hands and heels half way up the run in .... If they were serious in winning this they would of forced the issue at an earlier point of the race . Having said all that , if he is lucky to squeeze into the Caulfied Cup ( he is second emergency ) i reckon he would be a great chance of being in the finish in it .... more than he is likely to be in the Melbourne Cup in fact . Whatever happens i wish the horse and the connections good luck ....