Clamms Seafood Stakes (Caulfield R7)
ouch barrier 16... this is where MIDNGHT MUSTANG should be??? give MASKED ASASSIN a show here... nice draw for a bloke who likes to be on the bunny... could be hard to get past.
Agreed Chilli, barrier 1-3 for the asassin is ideal. Keep a close eye on the market for first command. I have seen this beauty run 3 times, and its still burnt in my mind. Harder here, but i still think the one to beat for me. Will have to jump well from 13, and hopefully get some cover.
Bel Mer undoubtedly the best horse in the race but 16 hurts. Depends on how much petrol she uses to get near the lead.
Imashadow is so consistent and he is always worth an each-way investment
Agreed Nudge, at least you know you'll get a good effort from him. Not sure he can beat this lot but as you say he's always a good each way bet. No reason Let Go Thommo can't run another bold race I guess and El Mandon is handy on his day, still put Bel Mer in the exotics but gee she's wide against a decent bunch of animals, could tell in the last 100 metres.
Wide barriers no concern over the short trips @ Caulfield boys... Ignore them!
If Augusta Proud, takes a sit instead of going banana up front will be in the finish here in fact I have just put down $500e/w of my winnings from yesterday
Doing my form with a strong lean towards on pace bias, so First Command looks good to me,
I a going against the grain here and im going to look for some value.........COLONEL PARKER......should have won by a length last start....drops in weight....bit of class about this fella and 2nd up record isnt bad at all........not a bad barrier either......$18.00 e/w special
i have always been a fan of Hear De Angels & if his barrier antics aren't to bad he will be hard to beat.
The problem with HERE DE ANGELS is that he forgot to keep growing or put on any muscle bulk since he was a 2-y.o , the Freedmans rarely let good horses go , or improve elsewhere . That said Mr Freedman didn't sound confident about FIRST COMMANDS chances, and i doubt if he will even run on a track worse than dead . Be aware that HUXSSEN is nominated for the Epsom , i just wonder why .... BEL MER could lead from the wide gate , just depends how much petrol it uses to get there .... AUGUSTA PROUD seems to be the forgotten horse , MAXISUN and EL MANDON must be conceded chances and are trained on track . LET GO THOMMO finished off impressively last start and would be my top pick if it had drawn a barrier , PINNACLES , BARWON EXPRESS and PILLAR OF HERCULES are the roughies that would not suprise me.
BEL MER won this race last year from barrier 14... UNDUE won in 07 from barrier 10.... I will say this only one more time! WIDE BARRIERS DON'T MATTER @ CAULFIELD over the sprint trips!!
tough race...i'll box up these 5 in a tri and hope, pinnacles, el mandon, imashadow, pillar of hercules and augusta proud...el mandon is at good odds for a decent e/w bet aswell
this maybe a little short for Huxssen but like him lots........if they go hard he can definately mow em down late....he can reel off a super quick last 400m and 200m. Suspect he doesn't want it wet. Very tough race though.
Agreed Money. I'm taking Let Go Thommo, winning form is good form and his last win was really good I thought. I see no reason he can't go on with the job.
i think if you get the TRI here you would do quite nicely.... there is some damn good horseflesh in this all the way down the market to BARWON EXPRESS... an absolute ton of speed with the hotpot drawn out wide... FIRST COMMAND and MASKED ASSASSIN to hoof it early with MAXISUN the sit on the rail followed by GRAND DUELS and HERE DE ANGELS... AUGUSTA to be ridden for luck but as often happens they all smash the bend and fan at speed... she may get a crack at them.. certainly well suited but a i think about 2kgs more weight than i like...IMASHADOW is a very good horse at very good odds but looks like he may follow AUGUSTA looking for a run... FIRST COMMAND is obviously very very good but this is a step up... going to rate GRAND DUELS as the one showing very big overs... will get a gun run and draw into the race and is a proven galloper who has had the two starts to get him up for this.
masked assasin looks good each way, moody thinks this one has improved and is good fresh, will carry mine.
Geez this is tough. Australia's best tipster Dean Lester has tipped Huxssen on top....snapped up the $10 and had a crack e/w. Appears to be a stack of speed here which will suit him down to the ground. He flies fresh and when he's tasted defeat its been at the hands of Takeover Target, Heart of Dreams & Whobegotyou. Have heard 'Rocket' Rod Douglas speak glowingly of him in the past and I remember him saying last time in he's the only horse he's ever seen who can run a 10 sec 200m sectional. M Allen (3 rides 3 wins) back on....C'mon show em how good you are. They reckon the tracks a Good 2 at the moment so some rain will be OK to give it a little cushion
It definitely won't be a good mate, plenty of rain pouring over Geelong and headed towards Melbourne. You've got me convince on Huxssen though, I'm on! Quinella him with Let Go Thommo and Imashadow and we're on our way.
Jeez don't think you can leave out First Command from Exotics he'll be right up on pace if not leading and be hard to run down.
First Command has been winning his 3yo races with a lot in reserve...............think he can measure up to these..............but he'll be carrying the extra burden of my small wager...... :-)
well tt thats the kiss of death
everybody lay it for all its worth
everybody lay it for all its worth
raining now at Caul but track manager took the punt that it was coming and left the track on the firmer side of good so it should be ok.....unless it pours. Just checked radar and most of the heavy stuff has already passed and has missed Caul. Its very windy so any rain should blow over fairly quickly
Track has been downgraded hasn't it?
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